How every player's numbers change by situation: back-to-backs, road trips, a teammate out, a fast opponent. Four seasons of box scores plus this one, every game tagged.
112,402 player-games tagged · 0 this season · history since 2022-23 · updated
Points · tap a situation for its gamesDownload CSV
Usually3.7 pts2025-26 · 44 games
This season—no games yet
WindowLast 2 seasons + now24-25→26-27
Role
Off the bench-5.4 pts
Last 102 above · 8 below his usual · 12 of 37 overall
2.8 pts in 37 gamesstrong
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs ATL
W
6
2.0 pts
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Apr 9 '26
@ TOR
L
3
2.0 pts
Apr 7 '26
@ TOR
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 27 '26
@ CLE
L
7
3.0 pts
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 15 '26
vs ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 25 '26
@ MIL
L
3
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 20 '26
@ GSW
L
4
5.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 12 '26
@ OKC
L
2
0.0 pts
Jan 11 '26
@ IND
L
12
2.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs MIN
L
5
7.0 pts
Dec 30 '25
vs DEN
W
3
0.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Dec 2 '25
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '25
@ PHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ CHI
W
5
3.0 pts
Oct 28 '25
vs CHA
W
3
3.0 pts
As a starter+5.4 pts
Last 77 above · 0 below his usual
8.3 pts in 7 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
New team (first 45 days)-0.2 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 6 of 14 overall
3.6 pts in 14 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 27 '26
@ CLE
L
7
3.0 pts
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 15 '26
vs ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 25 '26
@ MIL
L
3
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Teammates
Without Tyler Herro+2.0 pts
Last 106 above · 4 below his usual · 13 of 22 overall
4.7 pts in 22 gamesnotable
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 20 '26
@ GSW
L
4
5.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs MIN
L
5
7.0 pts
Dec 30 '25
vs DEN
W
3
0.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Without Jaime Jaquez Jr.+3.4 pts
Last 44 above · 0 below his usual
6.8 pts in 4 games⚠ tiny sample
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Without Davion Mitchell+2.2 pts
Last 85 above · 3 below his usual
5.5 pts in 8 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Without Norman Powell+1.7 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 8 of 15 overall
4.8 pts in 15 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 12 '26
@ OKC
L
2
0.0 pts
Oct 28 '25
vs CHA
W
3
3.0 pts
Without Andrew Wiggins+1.2 pts
Last 107 above · 3 below his usual · 7 of 12 overall
4.6 pts in 12 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 15 '26
vs ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Nov 23 '25
@ PHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ CHI
W
5
3.0 pts
Without Pelle Larsson+1.0 pts
Last 74 above · 3 below his usual
4.6 pts in 7 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs ATL
W
6
2.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs MIN
L
5
7.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Without Kel'el Ware+0.3 pts
Last 53 above · 2 below his usual
4.0 pts in 5 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Spotlight
National TV+2.2 pts
Last 43 above · 1 below his usual
5.8 pts in 4 games⚠ tiny sample
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 27 '26
@ CLE
L
7
3.0 pts
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs MIN
L
5
7.0 pts
Rest
3rd game in 4 nights+1.8 pts
Last 106 above · 4 below his usual · 10 of 15 overall
4.9 pts in 15 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs ATL
W
6
2.0 pts
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Dec 30 '25
vs DEN
W
3
0.0 pts
Second night of a back-to-back-1.1 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 6 of 11 overall
2.9 pts in 11 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 12 '26
@ OKC
L
2
0.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Venue
Home games+1.1 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 10 of 20 overall
4.3 pts in 20 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs ATL
W
6
2.0 pts
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Mar 15 '26
vs ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs MIN
L
5
7.0 pts
Dec 30 '25
vs DEN
W
3
0.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 2 '25
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Oct 28 '25
vs CHA
W
3
3.0 pts
Road games-1.1 pts
Last 102 above · 8 below his usual · 9 of 24 overall
3.2 pts in 24 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Apr 9 '26
@ TOR
L
3
2.0 pts
Apr 7 '26
@ TOR
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 27 '26
@ CLE
L
7
3.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Feb 25 '26
@ MIL
L
3
0.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 20 '26
@ GSW
L
4
5.0 pts
Jan 12 '26
@ OKC
L
2
0.0 pts
Jan 11 '26
@ IND
L
12
2.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Nov 23 '25
@ PHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ CHI
W
5
3.0 pts
Pace
Both teams fast+1.1 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 6 of 13 overall
4.5 pts in 13 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs ATL
W
6
2.0 pts
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 12 '26
@ OKC
L
2
0.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ CHI
W
5
3.0 pts
Motivation
After losing the last meeting-0.8 pts
Last 103 above · 7 below his usual · 5 of 14 overall
3.1 pts in 14 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 9 '26
@ TOR
L
3
2.0 pts
Apr 7 '26
@ TOR
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Mar 15 '26
vs ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Dec 30 '25
vs DEN
W
3
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Opponent
Opponent travelled 1,500+ km+1.0 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 6 of 15 overall
4.3 pts in 15 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
vs MIL
W
9
3.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 2 '25
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ CHI
W
5
3.0 pts
vs a defense soft at the rim+0.7 pts
Last 103 above · 7 below his usual · 15 of 33 overall
3.9 pts in 33 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 23 '26
vs SAS
L
18
9.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 25 '26
@ MIL
L
3
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Feb 12 '26
@ NOP
W
23
8.0 pts
Feb 10 '26
vs UTA
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 4 '26
vs ATL
L
22
14.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 26 '26
@ PHX
W
3
2.0 pts
Jan 25 '26
@ UTA
W
10
2.0 pts
Jan 23 '26
@ POR
L
16
7.0 pts
Jan 21 '26
@ SAC
W
15
5.0 pts
Jan 20 '26
@ GSW
L
4
5.0 pts
Jan 18 '26
vs OKC
W
15
11.0 pts
Jan 12 '26
@ OKC
L
2
0.0 pts
Jan 11 '26
@ IND
L
12
2.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Jan 4 '26
vs NOP
W
13
4.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs MIN
L
5
7.0 pts
Dec 30 '25
vs DEN
W
3
0.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '25
@ BOS
L
17
5.0 pts
Dec 2 '25
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '25
@ PHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ CHI
W
5
3.0 pts
Opponent on a back-to-back+0.8 pts
Last 85 above · 3 below his usual
4.4 pts in 8 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 21 '26
@ ATL
W
7
3.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Dec 28 '25
vs IND
W
2
0.0 pts
Opponent's 3rd game in 4 nights+0.3 pts
Last 106 above · 4 below his usual · 7 of 14 overall
3.9 pts in 14 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 27 '26
@ CLE
L
7
3.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 15 '26
vs ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ CHA
W
16
6.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ BOS
L
6
0.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
W
23
5.0 pts
Feb 1 '26
vs CHI
L
23
12.0 pts
Jan 7 '26
@ MIN
L
5
4.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
vs TOR
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 2 '25
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Oct 28 '25
vs CHA
W
3
3.0 pts
Officials
Whistle-heavy referee crew-0.8 pts
Last 73 above · 4 below his usual
3.0 pts in 7 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 7 '26
@ TOR
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 29 '26
@ IND
L
1
2.0 pts
Mar 27 '26
@ CLE
L
7
3.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
@ HOU
L
20
8.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
@ CHA
L
4
0.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 8 '26
vs DET
W
16
4.0 pts
Game script
His team favoured by 10++0.3 pts
Last 63 above · 3 below his usual
4.0 pts in 6 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs ATL
W
6
2.0 pts
Apr 10 '26
@ WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 10 '26
vs WAS
W
26
4.0 pts
Mar 4 '26
vs BKN
W
4
3.0 pts
Feb 22 '26
vs MEM
W
6
5.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ WAS
W
21
10.0 pts
Teammate situations are per team. Teams: 2025-26: MIA.
Why the numbers don’t subtract:Usually is his average in his latest full season. In situation is the plain average of the situation games across every season in the window. Shift compares situation games with his other games in the same season, then pools the seasons, so a role change, a trade or a different usual from season to season is taken out. That is why Shift is usually not In situation minus Usually. Few games (5–9) and tiny sample (under 5) mean the gap is easily luck, however big it looks.
How to read the screener
How to read it.Usually is his average in his latest full season. Shift compares his games in the situation with his other games in the same season, then pools the seasons, so a role change between seasons does not fake a shift. Avg in situation is the plain average of those games. The strength word says how much to read into it: strong (15+ games) and notable (10+ games) are unlikely to be luck; could be noise, few games (5–9) and tiny sample (under 5) are exactly that. Past games only, not predictions.
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