How every player's numbers change by situation: back-to-backs, road trips, a teammate out, a fast opponent. Four seasons of box scores plus this one, every game tagged.
112,402 player-games tagged · 0 this season · history since 2022-23 · updated
Points · tap a situation for its gamesDownload CSV
Usually1.9 pts2025-26 · 35 games
This season—no games yet
WindowLast 2 seasons + now24-25→26-27
Rest
Second night of a back-to-back+2.0 pts
Last 65 above · 1 below his usual
3.7 pts in 6 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
vs TOR
W
4
2.0 pts
Jan 16 '26
@ GSW
L
1
2.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Nov 4 '25
vs WAS
W
4
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
3rd game in 4 nights+3.1 pts
Last 107 above · 3 below his usual · 9 of 13 overall
4.2 pts in 13 gamesnotable
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Apr 3 '26
vs CHI
W
10
5.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ DEN
W
9
11.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Jan 6 '26
@ DET
L
5
2.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Nov 6 '25
vs MIN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 4 '25
vs WAS
W
4
0.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Rest advantage (2+ days)+0.2 pts
Last 32 above · 1 below his usual
2.0 pts in 3 games⚠ tiny sample
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 5 '26
vs PHI
W
9
4.0 pts
Nov 9 '25
vs BKN
W
6
2.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Roster
Early season, settled roster-1.9 pts
Last 82 above · 6 below his usual
0.5 pts in 8 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Nov 27 '25
@ CHA
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Nov 9 '25
vs BKN
W
6
2.0 pts
Nov 6 '25
vs MIN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 4 '25
vs WAS
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 3 '25
vs CHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Early season, new roster+0.6 pts
Last 104 above · 6 below his usual
1.9 pts in 10 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Nov 26 '24
@ DEN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '24
@ UTA
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Nov 9 '24
vs MIL
W
5
0.0 pts
Nov 1 '24
@ DET
W
5
2.0 pts
Oct 25 '24
vs IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Oct 22 '24
@ BOS
L
13
3.0 pts
Opponent
Opponent travelled 1,500+ km-1.4 pts
Last 92 above · 7 below his usual
0.7 pts in 9 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Jan 19 '26
vs DAL
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 8 '26
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Mar 30 '25
vs POR
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Jan 18 '25
vs MIN
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '24
@ MIN
W
5
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '24
@ UTA
L
3
0.0 pts
Opponent on a back-to-back+2.2 pts
Last 107 above · 3 below his usual · 7 of 11 overall
3.5 pts in 11 gamesnotable
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
vs TOR
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ DEN
W
9
11.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Jan 6 '26
@ DET
L
5
2.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 9 '24
vs MIL
W
5
0.0 pts
vs a defense soft at the rim+1.0 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 7 of 15 overall
2.4 pts in 15 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 17 '26
vs IND
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ DEN
W
9
11.0 pts
Jan 22 '26
vs BKN
W
7
0.0 pts
Jan 15 '26
@ SAC
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
May 14 '25
@ BOS
L
3
2.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 26 '24
@ DEN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '24
@ UTA
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Opponent's 3rd game in 4 nights+0.2 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 6 of 13 overall
1.9 pts in 13 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
vs TOR
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Jan 22 '26
vs BKN
W
7
0.0 pts
Jan 15 '26
@ SAC
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 26 '24
@ DEN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Teammates
Without Karl-Anthony Towns+2.3 pts
Last 96 above · 3 below his usual
3.8 pts in 9 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Apr 3 '26
vs CHI
W
10
5.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs ATL
L
2
0.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Jan 18 '25
vs MIN
L
1
0.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Without Josh Hart+1.2 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual
2.8 pts in 10 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Jan 8 '26
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Jan 6 '26
@ DET
L
5
2.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs ATL
L
2
0.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Dec 20 '24
@ MIN
W
5
0.0 pts
Without Landry Shamet-1.0 pts
Last 102 above · 8 below his usual · 2 of 11 overall
1.3 pts in 11 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Apr 1 '26
@ HOU
L
2
0.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Jan 15 '26
@ SAC
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 8 '26
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Jan 6 '26
@ DET
L
5
2.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs ATL
L
2
0.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
@ MIN
L
11
0.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 27 '25
@ CHA
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Without OG Anunoby+0.9 pts
Last 104 above · 6 below his usual
2.6 pts in 10 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 10 '26
@ PHI
W
12
5.0 pts
May 8 '26
@ PHI
W
2
0.0 pts
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ BOS
W
4
0.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
@ MIN
L
11
0.0 pts
Nov 27 '25
@ CHA
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Without Jalen Brunson+0.8 pts
Last 84 above · 4 below his usual
2.5 pts in 8 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
vs IND
W
4
2.0 pts
Jan 16 '26
@ GSW
L
1
2.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
@ MIN
L
11
0.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Mar 30 '25
vs POR
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Without Miles McBride+0.4 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 7 of 18 overall
2.1 pts in 18 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 10 '26
vs TOR
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
vs IND
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ DEN
W
9
11.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ BOS
W
4
0.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
@ MIN
L
11
0.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Mar 30 '25
vs POR
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '24
@ UTA
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Travel
Game 4+ of a road trip-1.3 pts
Last 62 above · 4 below his usual
0.8 pts in 6 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Jan 16 '26
@ GSW
L
1
2.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 27 '25
@ CHA
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
After flying 2+ time zones east-0.9 pts
Last 31 above · 2 below his usual
1.0 pts in 3 games⚠ tiny sample
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Motivation
After losing the last meeting+1.8 pts
Last 84 above · 4 below his usual
3.4 pts in 8 games⚠ few games
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ BOS
W
4
0.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 3 '25
vs CHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Officials
Whistle-heavy referee crew+0.7 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 7 of 15 overall
2.3 pts in 15 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 3 '26
vs CHI
W
10
5.0 pts
Apr 1 '26
@ HOU
L
2
0.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
vs IND
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ DEN
W
9
11.0 pts
Jun 1 '25
@ IND
L
2
0.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Nov 9 '24
vs MIL
W
5
0.0 pts
Nov 1 '24
@ DET
W
5
2.0 pts
Oct 25 '24
vs IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Oct 22 '24
@ BOS
L
13
3.0 pts
Game script
His team favoured by 10+-0.6 pts
Last 104 above · 6 below his usual · 5 of 14 overall
1.5 pts in 14 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
Apr 3 '26
vs CHI
W
10
5.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
vs IND
W
4
2.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Jan 22 '26
vs BKN
W
7
0.0 pts
Jan 19 '26
vs DAL
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 15 '26
@ SAC
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 9 '25
vs BKN
W
6
2.0 pts
Nov 4 '25
vs WAS
W
4
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Venue
Home games-0.4 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 9 of 27 overall
1.6 pts in 27 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 22 '26
vs CLE
W
1
0.0 pts
May 5 '26
vs PHI
W
9
4.0 pts
Apr 29 '26
vs ATL
W
1
0.0 pts
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Apr 10 '26
vs TOR
W
4
2.0 pts
Apr 3 '26
vs CHI
W
10
5.0 pts
Mar 22 '26
vs WAS
W
3
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '26
vs IND
W
4
2.0 pts
Jan 22 '26
vs BKN
W
7
0.0 pts
Jan 19 '26
vs DAL
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 8 '26
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Jan 3 '26
vs ATL
L
2
0.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Nov 9 '25
vs BKN
W
6
2.0 pts
Nov 6 '25
vs MIN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 4 '25
vs WAS
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 3 '25
vs CHI
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 30 '25
vs POR
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Jan 18 '25
vs MIN
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 4 '24
vs ORL
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Nov 9 '24
vs MIL
W
5
0.0 pts
Oct 25 '24
vs IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Road games+0.4 pts
Last 106 above · 4 below his usual · 13 of 28 overall
2.0 pts in 28 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 26 '26
@ CLE
W
7
6.0 pts
May 10 '26
@ PHI
W
12
5.0 pts
May 8 '26
@ PHI
W
2
0.0 pts
Apr 30 '26
@ ATL
W
8
5.0 pts
Apr 1 '26
@ HOU
L
2
0.0 pts
Mar 13 '26
@ IND
W
6
3.0 pts
Mar 12 '26
@ UTA
W
2
0.0 pts
Mar 7 '26
@ DEN
W
9
11.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ BOS
W
4
0.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Jan 16 '26
@ GSW
L
1
2.0 pts
Jan 15 '26
@ SAC
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 6 '26
@ DET
L
5
2.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
@ MIN
L
11
0.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 27 '25
@ CHA
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Jun 1 '25
@ IND
L
2
0.0 pts
May 14 '25
@ BOS
L
3
2.0 pts
Apr 13 '25
@ BKN
W
11
4.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Dec 20 '24
@ MIN
W
5
0.0 pts
Nov 26 '24
@ DEN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '24
@ UTA
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 1 '24
@ DET
W
5
2.0 pts
Oct 22 '24
@ BOS
L
13
3.0 pts
Pace
Both teams slow+0.3 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 8 of 19 overall
2.0 pts in 19 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 26 '26
@ CLE
W
7
6.0 pts
May 10 '26
@ PHI
W
12
5.0 pts
May 8 '26
@ PHI
W
2
0.0 pts
May 5 '26
vs PHI
W
9
4.0 pts
Apr 12 '26
vs CHA
L
27
12.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ BOS
W
4
0.0 pts
Jan 15 '26
@ SAC
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 8 '26
vs LAC
W
1
0.0 pts
Dec 19 '25
@ IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Nov 9 '25
vs BKN
W
6
2.0 pts
Nov 6 '25
vs MIN
W
2
0.0 pts
May 14 '25
@ BOS
L
3
2.0 pts
Jan 18 '25
vs MIN
L
1
0.0 pts
Dec 20 '24
@ MIN
W
5
0.0 pts
Dec 4 '24
vs ORL
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Nov 16 '24
vs BKN
W
12
5.0 pts
Spotlight
National TV-0.2 pts
Last 105 above · 5 below his usual · 12 of 28 overall
1.7 pts in 28 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 26 '26
@ CLE
W
7
6.0 pts
May 22 '26
vs CLE
W
1
0.0 pts
May 10 '26
@ PHI
W
12
5.0 pts
May 8 '26
@ PHI
W
2
0.0 pts
May 5 '26
vs PHI
W
9
4.0 pts
Apr 30 '26
@ ATL
W
8
5.0 pts
Apr 29 '26
vs ATL
W
1
0.0 pts
Apr 3 '26
vs CHI
W
10
5.0 pts
Apr 1 '26
@ HOU
L
2
0.0 pts
Feb 8 '26
@ BOS
W
4
0.0 pts
Feb 7 '26
@ DET
L
7
5.0 pts
Jan 19 '26
vs DAL
L
3
0.0 pts
Jan 16 '26
@ GSW
L
1
2.0 pts
Jan 6 '26
@ DET
L
5
2.0 pts
Nov 22 '25
@ ORL
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 13 '25
vs ORL
L
2
2.0 pts
Nov 6 '25
vs MIN
W
2
0.0 pts
Jun 1 '25
@ IND
L
2
0.0 pts
May 14 '25
@ BOS
L
3
2.0 pts
Mar 30 '25
vs POR
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 17 '25
vs MIA
W
3
0.0 pts
Feb 22 '25
@ CLE
L
12
7.0 pts
Dec 20 '24
@ MIN
W
5
0.0 pts
Dec 4 '24
vs ORL
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 23 '24
@ UTA
L
3
0.0 pts
Nov 21 '24
@ PHX
W
2
0.0 pts
Oct 25 '24
vs IND
W
4
0.0 pts
Oct 22 '24
@ BOS
L
13
3.0 pts
Availability
First games back from an absence-0.2 pts
Last 103 above · 7 below his usual · 3 of 11 overall
1.6 pts in 11 gamescould be noise
Date
Opp
Min
Points
May 5 '26
vs PHI
W
9
4.0 pts
Apr 30 '26
@ ATL
W
8
5.0 pts
Dec 24 '25
@ MIN
L
11
0.0 pts
Nov 27 '25
@ CHA
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 25 '25
@ BKN
W
3
0.0 pts
Nov 6 '25
vs MIN
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 4 '25
vs WAS
W
4
0.0 pts
Mar 30 '25
vs POR
W
1
0.0 pts
Mar 25 '25
vs DAL
W
2
0.0 pts
Nov 19 '24
vs WAS
W
18
9.0 pts
Nov 18 '24
vs BKN
W
10
0.0 pts
Teammate situations are per team. Teams: 2025-26: NYK · 2024-25: NYK.
Why the numbers don’t subtract:Usually is his average in his latest full season. In situation is the plain average of the situation games across every season in the window. Shift compares situation games with his other games in the same season, then pools the seasons, so a role change, a trade or a different usual from season to season is taken out. That is why Shift is usually not In situation minus Usually. Few games (5–9) and tiny sample (under 5) mean the gap is easily luck, however big it looks.
How to read the screener
How to read it.Usually is his average in his latest full season. Shift compares his games in the situation with his other games in the same season, then pools the seasons, so a role change between seasons does not fake a shift. Avg in situation is the plain average of those games. The strength word says how much to read into it: strong (15+ games) and notable (10+ games) are unlikely to be luck; could be noise, few games (5–9) and tiny sample (under 5) are exactly that. Past games only, not predictions.
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